Marine heatwaves may become more intense, frequent, say scientists

Houston: The mixed layer of the ocean which blankets the top 20 to 200 meters is becoming thinner each year, says a new study that warns that the continued loss of this buffer may lead to more frequent and destructive warming events such as marine heatwaves. The thickness of this top layer of the ocean is responsible for marine heat events.

Researchers from the University of Colorado at Boulder in the US said the thickness of this top layer of the ocean is responsible for marine heat events. The thicker this mixed layer, they said the more it can act as a buffer to shield the waters below from incoming hot air. According to the study, published in the journal Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, the scientists found that this armour is thinning, causing the oceans Marine heat waves may become more intense, frequent to become more susceptible to rapid swings in temperature.

 “Marine heatwaves will be more intense and happen more often in the future,” said Dillon Amaya, lead author of the study. “When the mixed layer is thin, it takes less heat to warm the ocean more,” Amaya explained. In the study, Amaya and his team used a combination of ocean observations and models to estimate the depth of the mixed layer back to 1980, and also project out into the future.

They found that over the last 40 years, the layer has thinned by nearly three metres in some regions of the North Pacific. By 2100, they believe the mixed layer could be four metres thinner which is about 30 percent less than what it is today.

According to the researchers, this thin mixed layer combined with warmer global temperatures could set the stage for drastic swings in ocean temperatures, leading to much more frequent and extreme heating events.

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