The Western Himalayan Region is expected to see a wet spell from tonight, February 8th, through tomorrow, February 10th, said the India Meteorological Department (IMD). It has included the potential for a few isolated, severe snowfalls across Kashmir Valley on February 9, 2023, in its projection.
IMD predicts the Western Disturbance as a cyclonic circulation in the middle troposphere across west Iran and the surrounding area.
Over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, and Himachal Pradesh today, on February 8, light isolated to scattered rainfall/snowfall is highly possible.
On February 9-10, there will likely be isolated, heavy rainfall or snowfall over Kashmir Valley along with mild to moderately widespread to widespread thunderstorms and lightning. The intensity will be at its greatest on February 9. On the 9th and 10th of February 2023, Uttarakhand is very likely to get mild to moderate amounts of scattered rain, snow, and thunderstorms with lightning. Over north Punjab, isolated light rain is anticipated to fall between February 8 and 10. Also, between the dates of February 11 and 12, a strong surface wind (with a speed between 20 and 30 kmph) is expected to blow over the plains of northwest India.
Speaking about temperatures, IMD predicted that a rise of 3-5°C in minimum temperatures is quite expected throughout several regions of Northwest India until February 10 and a subsequent drop of 2-4°C till February 12. On February 8th, a thunderstorm with hail and lightning is extremely likely to occur in solitary locations over Northeast India, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, and Sikkim.
Up to February 11th, many areas of Central India are quite likely to have an increase in minimum temperatures of 2-4°C, followed by a dip of 2-4°C. It also stated that until February 11th, there is little chance of a substantial shift in the state of Gujarat's minimum temperatures, with a subsequent steady decline of 2-3°C. Over the next 4-5 days, it's unlikely that the lowest temperatures will shift significantly in the remaining portions of north India.
IMD reports indicate that this year's snowfall in Himachal Pradesh was lower than in years past. The districts of Shimla, Kinnaur Mandi, Solan, and Kullu got less precipitation than last year, and other districts had rain and snowfall that was almost normal, according to IMD Himachal Pradesh head Surender Paul in a statement to ANI. This is due to the fact that Shimla experienced less of a western disturbance and warmer-than-average temperatures in January. "This year, there has been less snowfall and rain in the capital city as well. Shimla, the state's capital, has only received 6.0 cm of snow so far this year compared to 102.4 cm in January last year, which was the most snowfall ever recorded in the hill queen, according to Surender Paul.
According to IMD's forecast for the month of February, "usual rainfall" is anticipated in Northwest India, but days with freezing temperatures are less likely.
Except for the northeast and adjacent east India, normal to below average minimum temperatures are forecast for most of the country, according to the weather service.
Except for the northeast and neighbouring east India, northern portions of the west coast, and certain parts of northwest India, where it is most likely to be above normal, the minimum temperatures are most likely to be normal to below normal over most of the country, it had said.
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