West Bengal, one of India's most politically active states, with 42 parliamentary seats, is witnessing keenly awaited election results. Over the years, Bengal's political landscape has been dominated by Mamata Banerjee, known for her firebrand activism and leadership of the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC).
Recent political tensions, particularly the Sandeshkhali incident, have brought national attention to West Bengal, sparking anti-TMC protests and intensifying the competition, as the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) under PM Modi aims to gain significant ground in the state.
Security Concerns and Political Dynamics
West Bengal's elections are often marred by post-poll violence. This year, nearly 400 companies of Central Armed Police Force (CAPF), totaling over 40,000 personnel, will remain deployed in the state until June 19 to maintain law and order.
Mamata vs Modi
Mamata Banerjee, despite her influence over large parts of Bengal, faces a formidable challenge from the popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP's National Democratic Alliance (NDA). The Modi government's ten-year tenure has bolstered its stature and electoral success across the country, making it a tough task for Mamata to counter.
Additionally, the presence of a third political force in the form of a Congress and Left alliance could further erode the vote share of the Trinamool Congress (TMC), potentially boosting the BJP's prospects. This alliance also signals a possible resurgence of the Congress and Left parties in the state, which have struggled politically over the past decade.
BJP's Strategy and Challenges for TMC
The BJP, leveraging Modi's popularity, aims to capitalize on anti-incumbency sentiments against the TMC. While the party lacks a strong grassroots presence in Bengal, it is seen as a significant contender in these elections.
Exit Polls and Predictions
Exit polls suggest a strong performance by the BJP in West Bengal. Pollsters predict that the saffron party could win more than 20 seats. According to India Today Axis My India, the BJP might secure between 26 to 31 seats. ABP News C Voter estimates BJP's win between 23 to 27 seats, while TV9 Bharatvarsh Exit poll suggests around 17 seats for BJP.
Election Details
West Bengal conducted elections in 7 phases to elect 42 lawmakers. In the previous Lok Sabha elections in 2019, BJP made significant gains with 18 seats, AITC won 22 seats, and INC secured 2 seats.
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