India will probably experience normal monsoon rainfall in 2021 as La Nina or El Nino weather conditions, which impact rain patterns, are likely to be absent, according to state-run forecaster India Meteorological Department (IMD).

“India is expected to see normal rainfall during the monsoon season between June to September this year” IMD forecast. The 2021 southwest monsoon starting June is expected to be normal at 98 percent of the Long Period Average (LPA), said IMD’s forecast that has a model error of plus and minus 5 percent.

 “This is good news for all as the monsoon is expected to be normal this year,” Rajeevan said. Rainfall between 96-104 percent of the LPA is considered normal.

IMD said its initial forecasts show that barring India’s East and Northeast, which includes Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand, North-Chhattisgarh, East UP and Assam, rainfall in all other regions of the country is expected to be normal.

IMD also said that there is very little chance of the dreaded El Nino during the monsoon season. The Indian Ocean Dipole, which is another weather system that has a direct bearing on the Indian monsoon, is also expected to be neutral this year.

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