Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is at risk of losing its majority in the lower house in the upcoming election on October 27, according to recent polls. If the LDP falls short, it may need to depend on its coalition partner, Komeito, to remain in power.

The LDP is struggling to secure the 233 seats required for an outright majority in the 465-seat lower house, as indicated by polling results on Thursday. The LDP has controlled this chamber since returning to power in 2012, following a brief period in opposition.

A separate poll conducted by Jiji Press revealed that support for Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's cabinet has dropped to 28%, marking the lowest approval for a newly formed government since 2000. This poll, held from October 11 to 14, was released on Thursday.

Currently, Ishiba's government already relies on Komeito for a majority in the upper house. If the LDP fails to secure a lower house majority, Komeito's role will become even more significant in policy decisions. The party, supported by Japan's largest Buddhist lay organization, may gain more influence over key issues.

Michael Cucek, a professor at Temple University in Tokyo, said, "I believe the LDP will manage to secure the majority it needs, with the help of its coalition partner Komeito." He also pointed out that relying on Komeito could give the party more leverage, especially as it has been less supportive of the LDP’s more assertive defense policies in the past.

Komeito has resisted some of the LDP's proposals, such as expanding Japan's military capabilities, sending arms to Ukraine, and supporting nations opposing China's territorial claims in the South China Sea.

Meanwhile, Nobuyuki Baba, leader of the Japan Innovation Party, has hinted at the possibility of working with the LDP post-election. He supports strengthening Japan's military and amending the pacifist constitution to formally recognize the armed forces.

Polls conducted by various outlets, including a survey from broadcaster TBS, indicate that the LDP may lose around 30 seats, while Komeito could also experience slight losses. Another poll from Kyodo shows the LDP facing significant challenges in securing a majority.

Prime Minister Ishiba dissolved the lower house on October 9, triggering the snap election. He became leader last month following the resignation of his predecessor, Fumio Kishida, who stepped down after a series of funding scandals involving LDP politicians.

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