New Delhi: Although the crucial elections in Nepal have not yet been completed, it appears that the odds are in the five-party alliance led by the Nepali Congress would prevail.
India will benefit from this. A new government headed by the Communist Party of Nepal-Unified Marxist Leninist (CPN-UML), supported by a few smaller parties or independents, would have emerged if the NC had not triumphed as the largest single party in the polls. This would have further tempted China to unite all the communist parties.
However, it is now evident that the ruling five-party coalition, with the NC serving as its pivot, is holding strong in the post-election period.
Michael Madhav The five-party coalition is not pro-China, and Nepal, the head of the CPN (Unified Socialist), has made it clear that there will be no rupture after the elections, which no one party has been able to easily win. On Tuesday, Nepal stated that he does not believe that the communist parties could ever create a coalition and form a government. Chen Song, who replaces his controversial predecessor Hou Yanqi as China's new ambassador to Kathmandu, is reportedly on a mission to bring the communists together into a pro-Beijing coalition.
The Nepali Congress, CPN (Maoist Centre), CPN (Unified Socialist), Rastriya Janamorcha, and Loktantrik Samajbadi Party make up the ruling alliance.
The likelihood of a communist coalition creating a government, according to Nepal, is nonexistent. "We have chosen to keep working with the ruling coalition." Although the final election results have not yet been announced, it is anticipated that the ruling alliance will fall short of the 138 seats needed to secure a simple majority. The five-party coalition will probably form the next administration by teaming up with some like-minded parties or independent candidates.
Rastriya Swatantra Party (RCP), one of the new forces born out of the elections, has drawn attention. The CPN (Maoist Centre), led by Pushp Kamal Dahal or Prachanda, a powerhouse in the five-party coalition, was marginally ahead of the RCP, which has now emerged as Nepal's fourth largest party. Around 20 seats in the lower chamber of parliament are predicted to go to the RSP.
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