Economies of all countries have fallen with the pandemic. A slow economic recovery from the pandemic threatens to delay a full rebound in world energy demand to 2025, the International Energy Agency stated on Tuesday. In its central scenario, a vaccine and therapeutics could mean the global economy rebounds in 2021 and energy demand recovers by 2023, the IEA, which advises Western governments on energy policy, said in its annual World Energy Outlook. But under a "delayed recovery scenario", the timeline is pushed back two years, it said.
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In such a case, the IEA foretells "a deeper near-term slump erodes the growth potential of the economy, high unemployment wears away human capital, and bankruptcies and structural economic changes mean that some physical assets become unproductive as well." The Paris-based IEA sees global energy demand falling by 5% in 2020, CO2 emissions related to energy by 7% and energy investment by 18%. Demand for oil is set to fall by 8% and coal use by 7% while renewables will see a slight rise. All in all, the energy watchdog said it was too soon to say whether the pandemic had acted as a spur or a setback to governments and the energy industry as they seek to make the industry more sustainable.
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IEA chief Fatih Birol told a leading daily that policymakers were straggling behind: "We are far from reaching our climate goals with the existing policies around the world." "The era of global oil demand growth will come to an end within the next 10 years, but in the absence in a large shift in government policies, I don't see a clear sign of a peak. A global economic rebound would soon bring oil demand back to pre-crisis levels," he said in an interview.
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