IIT Kanpur scientists have madecsome predications regarding the third wave of coronavirus in India. The study was conducted in mathematical manner in different parts of the country on the COVID-19 situation. They predicted that India may face the third wave of COVID-19 infections in October.
The IIT Kanpur scientists used the mathematical model formula to conduct the study. They claimed in study that the COVID-19 situation in Maharashtra has already peaked and will begin to see a decline in cases while Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Gujarat and West Bengal are currently at peak and will start receding soon. In response to the question of the Kumbh Mela or election rallies were responsible for the rapid spread of the virus. IIT professor Maninder Agarwal spoke that the spike in cases was seen mostly in Maharashtra and Delhi, both these places had no rallies and no Kumbh, thus eliminating it as a possibility. Professor Agarwal has also predicted that the second wave of COVID-19 will end in July. After analyzing COVID-19 data collected, third wave may start from October, however impact of this third wave cannot be predicted. The time of the second wave’s peak in the country has also been extended. According to the study, the peak of Delhi and Madhya Pradesh is ongoing, while the peak time in Haryana has moved forward.
In his statement, he has also suggest, in order to stop the COVID-19 situation from getting worse, by September-October the maximum population of the country should be vaccinated.
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